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Politics in the next 50 years: The changing nature of international conflict
Rogers, Paul F.
Rogers, Paul F.
Publication Date
2000
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© 2000 University of Bradford. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.
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Abstract
This paper seeks to examine the underlying factors that will influence international security in
the coming decades. In contrast to the Cold War era, it will be argued that two fundamental
issues will largely determine the evolution of conflict - the widening socio-economic
polarisation and problems of environmental constraints. Taken together with the proliferation
of military technologies, the paper argues that attempts to maintain the present world order in
the interests of a minority elite are unlikely to succeed and will, instead, enhance the risks of
conflict. A radical re-thinking of western perceptions of security is necessary that will
embrace a willingness to address the core causes of insecurity at their roots.
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published version paper
Citation
Rogers, P. (2000). Politics in the next 50 years: The changing nature of international conflict. Bradford: University of Bradford, Department of Peace Studies. Peace studies papers: Fourth series: Working paper No. 1.
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Working Paper