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dc.contributor.advisorCampean, I. Felician
dc.contributor.advisorNeagu, Daniel
dc.contributor.authorSoleimani, Morteza
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-02T14:50:33Z
dc.date.available2024-01-02T14:50:33Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10454/19747
dc.description.abstractThe complexity of engineered systems has increased remarkably to meet customer needs. In the continuously growing global market, it is essential for engineered systems to keep their productivities which can be achieved by higher reliability and availability. Integrated health management based on diagnostics and prognostics provides significant benefits, which includes increasing system safety and operational reliability, with a significant impact on the life-cycle costs, reducing operating costs and increasing revenues. Characteristics of complex systems such as nonlinearity, dynamicity, non-stationarity, and non-Gaussianity make diagnostics and prognostics more challenging tasks and decrease the application of classic reliability methods remarkably – as they cannot address the dynamic behaviour of these systems. This research has focused on detecting, predicting and isolating faults in engineered systems, using operational data with multifarious data characteristics. Complexities in the data, including non-Gaussianity and high nonlinearity, impose stringent challenges on fault analysis. To deal with these challenges, this research proposed an integrated data-driven methodology in which hidden Markov modelling (HMM) and Bayesian network (BN) were employed to detect, predict and isolate faults in a system. The fault detection and prediction were based on comparing and exploiting pattern similarity in the data via the loglikelihood values generated through HMM training. To identify the root cause of the faults, the probability values obtained from updating the BN were used which were based on the virtual evidence provided by HMM training and log-likelihood values. To set up a more accurate data-driven model – particularly BN structure – engineering analyses were employed in a structured way to explore the causal relationships in the system which is essential for reliability analysis of complex engineered systems. The automotive exhaust gas Aftertreatment system is a complex engineered system consisting of several subsystems working interdependently to meet emission legislations. The Aftertreatment system is a highly nonlinear, dynamic and non-stationary system. Consequently, it has multifarious data characteristics, where these characteristics raise the challenges of diagnostics and prognostics for this system, compared to some of the references systems, such as the Tennessee Eastman process or rolling bearings. The feasibility and effectiveness of the presented framework were discussed in conjunction with the application to a real-world case study of an exhaust gas Aftertreatment system which provided good validation of the methodology, proving feasibility to detect, predict, and isolate unidentified faults in dynamic processes.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.rights<a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/"><img alt="Creative Commons License" style="border-width:0" src="http://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-nc-nd/3.0/88x31.png" /></a><br />The University of Bradford theses are licenced under a <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/">Creative Commons Licence</a>.eng
dc.subjectDiagnosticsen_US
dc.subjectPrognosticsen_US
dc.subjectComplex engineered systemsen_US
dc.subjectHidden Markov Modellingen_US
dc.subjectBayesian networken_US
dc.subjectAutomotive aftertreatment systemen_US
dc.subjectFault analysisen_US
dc.subjectEngine emissionsen_US
dc.titleIntegration of Hidden Markov Modelling and Bayesian Networks for fault analysis of complex systems. Development of a hybrid diagnostics methodology based on the integration of hidden Markov modelling and Bayesian networks for fault detection, prediction and isolation of complex automotive systemsen_US
dc.type.qualificationleveldoctoralen_US
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Bradfordeng
dc.publisher.departmentFaculty of Engineering and Informaticsen_US
dc.typeThesiseng
dc.type.qualificationnamePhDen_US
dc.date.awarded2021
refterms.dateFOA2024-01-02T14:50:34Z


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