Driving Behaviour Modelling Framework for Intelligent Powertrain Health Management

Abstract

Implementation of an intelligent powertrain health management relies on robust prognostics modelling. However, prognostics capability is often limited due to unknown future operating conditions, which varies with duty cycles and individual driver behaviours. On the other hand, the growing availability of data pertaining to vehicle usage allows advanced modelling of usage patterns and driver behavious, bringing optimisation opportunities for powertrain operation and health management. This paper introduces a methodology for driving behaviour modelling, underpinned by Machine Learning classification algorithms, generating model-based predictive insight for intelligent powertrain health management strategies. Specifically, the aim is to learn the patterns of driving behaviour and predict characteristics for the short-term future operating conditions as a basis for enhanced control strategies to optimise energy efficiency and system reliability. A case study of an automotive emissions aftertreatment system is used to comprehensively demonstrate the proposed framework. The case study illustrates the approach for integrating predictive insight from machine learning deployed on real world trip behaviour data, in conjunction with a reliability-based model of the operational behaviour of a particulate filter, to propose an intelligent active regeneration control strategy for improved efficiency and reliability performance. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy was demonstrated on an industry standard model-in-the-loop set up with a representative sample of real-world vehicle driving data.