Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media
dc.contributor.author | Fry, John | |
dc.contributor.author | Binner, J.M. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-01-05T11:37:40Z | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-01-14T10:20:28Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-01-05T11:37:40Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-01-14T10:20:28Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2016-03 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Fry J and Binner JM (2016) Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media. European Journal of Operational Research. 249(3): 1014-1023. | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10454/17569 | |
dc.description | Yes | en_US |
dc.description.abstract | Social media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model-based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | Supported by EPSRC (IDEAS Factory - Game theory and adaptive networks for smart evacuations, EP/I005765/1) | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.relation.isreferencedby | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.049 | en_US |
dc.rights | © 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). | en_US |
dc.subject | Behavioural OR | en_US |
dc.subject | OR in disaster relief | en_US |
dc.subject | Decision analysis | en_US |
dc.subject | Humanitarian logistics | en_US |
dc.subject | Modelling | en_US |
dc.title | Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media | en_US |
dc.status.refereed | Yes | en_US |
dc.date.Accepted | 2015-05-18 | |
dc.date.application | 2015-05-23 | |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.type.version | Published version | en_US |
dc.date.updated | 2020-01-05T11:37:42Z | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2020-01-14T10:21:00Z |