Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media
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2016-03Rights
© 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).Peer-Reviewed
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Social media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model-based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions.Version
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Fry J and Binner JM (2016) Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media. European Journal of Operational Research. 249(3): 1014-1023.Link to Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.049Type
Articleae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.049