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2018-04Rights
© Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature 2018. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Natural Hazards. The final authenticated version is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3168-4.Peer-Reviewed
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