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dc.contributor.authorMcManus, R.*
dc.contributor.authorOzkan, F.G.*
dc.contributor.authorTrzeciakiewicz, Dawid*
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-02T15:59:35Z
dc.date.available2017-06-02T15:59:35Z
dc.date.issued2019-01
dc.identifier.citationMcmanus M, Ozkan FG and Trzeciakiewicz D (2019) Expansionary contractions and fiscal free lunches: too good to be true? The Scandinavian Journal of Economics. 121(1): 32-54.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10454/12115
dc.descriptionYesen_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper builds a framework to jointly examine the possibility of both `expansionary fiscal contractions' (austerity increasing output) and `fiscal free lunches' (expansions reducing government debt), arguments supported by the austerity and stimulus camps, respectively, in recent debates. We propose a new metric quantifying the budgetary implications of fiscal action, a key aspect of fiscal policy particularly at the monetary zero lower bound. We find that austerity needs to be highly persistent and credible to be expansionary, and stimulus temporary, responsive and well-targeted in order to lower debt. We conclude that neither are likely, especially during periods of economic distress.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.relation.isreferencedbyhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12269
dc.rights© The editors of The Scandinavian Journal of Economics 2017. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: [Mcmanus M, Ozkan FG and Trzeciakiewicz D (2019) Expansionary contractions and fiscal free lunches: too good to be true? The Scandinavian Journal of Economics. 121(1): 32-54.], which has been published in final form at http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12269. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.
dc.subjectFiscal policy; Expansionary contractions; Fiscal free lunches; Austerity versus stimulus; Zero lower bounden_US
dc.titleExpansionary contractions and fiscal free lunches: too good to be true?en_US
dc.status.refereedyesen_US
dc.date.Accepted2017-05-11
dc.date.application2017-09-11
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.type.versionAccepted Manuscripten_US
refterms.dateFOA2019-09-12T08:06:02Z


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