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Negative bubbles and shocks in cryptocurrency markets
Fry, John Cheah, E-T.
Fry, John
Cheah, E-T.
Publication Date
2016-10
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© 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. . Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.
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openAccess
Accepted for publication
10/02/2016
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Abstract
In this paper we draw upon the close relationship between statistical physics and mathematical finance to develop a suite of models for financial bubbles and crashes. The derived models allow for a probabilistic and statistical formulation of econophysics models closely linked to mainstream financial models. Applications include monitoring the stability of financial systems and the subsequent policy implications. We emphasise the timeliness of our contribution with an application to the two largest cryptocurrency markets: Bitcoin and Ripple. Results shed new light on emerging debates over the nature of cryptocurrency markets and competition between rival digital currencies.
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Accepted manuscript
Citation
Fry J and Cheah E-T (2016) Negative bubbles and shocks in cryptocurrency markets. International Review of Financial Analysis. 47: 343-352.
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Article