Bayesian DEA Framework for Market Power and Efficiency Analysis in Banking Operations
Fukuyama, H. Tsionas, M. Tan, Yong
Fukuyama, H.
Tsionas, M.
Tan, Yong
Publication Date
2025
End of Embargo
Supervisor
Rights
(c) 2025 SpringerNature. This version of the article has been accepted for publication, after peer-review (when applicable) and is subject to Springer Nature’s AM terms of use, but is not the Version of Record and does not reflect post-acceptance improvements, or any corrections. The Version of Record is available online at: https://doi.org/xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Peer-Reviewed
Yes
Open Access status
embargoedAccess
Accepted for publication
2025-05-20
Institution
Department
Awarded
Embargo end date
2026
Collections
Additional title
Abstract
The accurate measurement of marginal costs and market power is a persistent challenge in production economics and operations research, particularly within the banking sector. This study addresses this problem by proposing a Bayesian likelihood-based approach to estimate the Lerner index under multiple inputs and outputs, extending the nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methods of Fukuyama and Tan (2022a) with statistical inference. Using data from 36 Chinese banks (2011–2018), the results reveal that market power in loans is generally higher and more stable compared to securities, with significant variations across different bank ownership types. For instance, city banks demonstrate the highest market power in loans, while state-owned banks exhibit the lowest. Efficiency analysis indicates volatility across all bank types, with no clear efficiency patterns. These findings have critical policy implications, emphasizing the need for targeted strategies to enhance market power and efficiency sustainably. For example, rural, city, and joint-stock banks should focus on staff development in non-traditional banking, while state-owned banks could benefit from operational cost reductions. The proposed methodology also provides a robust framework for future studies on market power and efficiency in diverse industries.
Version
Accepted manuscript
Citation
Fukuyama F, Tsionas M and Tan Y (2025) Bayesian DEA Framework for Market Power and Efficiency Analysis in Banking Operations. OR Spectrum. Accepted for publication.
Link to publisher’s version
Link to published version
Link to Version of Record
Type
Article
Qualification name
Notes
The full-text of this article will be released for public view at the end of the publisher embargo, 12 months from first publication.